Week 10 of the college football season is chock-full of important games, but none more important than Saturday’s SEC showdown (8:00 PM ET, CBS) between the No. 2 LSU Tigers and the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide. Alabama is a 6-point home favorite (–115) at press time.
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The Tigers go into this matchup undefeated at 7-0 SU and 4-3 ATS, but while the AP poll has them two spots ahead of the Crimson Tide (7-1 SU, 3-5 ATS), the advanced stats suggest that Alabama is the better team, both on offense and defense. LSU might also be missing cornerback Tre’Davious White on Saturday; White hurt his knee two weeks ago and was said to be “gimpy” during Wednesday’s practice.
Both teams have had the bye week to prepare for Saturday’s contest, but Alabama will have home-field advantage at noisy Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, and the Tigers haven’t played on the road since Week 4, when they failed to cover in a 34-24 victory over the Syracuse Orange (+24). The Tide have also allowed just 2.6 yards per carry this year on the ground, which could spell trouble for LSU’s Heisman favorite, running back Leonard Fournette (–225).
LSU vs Alabama – Bovada NCAAF BETTING LINE and TIPS:
- Oddsmakers currently have the Crimson Tide listed as 6-point favorites versus the Tigers, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
- Alabama won its last outing, a 19-14 result against Volunteers on October 24. Alabama failed to cover in that game as a -14.5-point favorite, while the 33 combined points took the game UNDER the total.
- LSU was a 48-20 winner in their most recent outing at home against Hilltoppers. They covered the -16-point spread as favorites, while the total score (68) made winners of OVER bettors.
LSU Tigers:
- Team record: 7-0 straight up, 4-3 against the spread
- Current Streak: won 7 straight games
- LSU is 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 games
- LSU is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU’s last 5 games
Alabama Crimson Tide:
- Team record: 7-1 straight up, 3-5 against the spread
- Current Streak: won 5 straight games
- Alabama is 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 games
- Alabama is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama’s last 5 games
Next up:
- LSU home to Arkansas Saturday, November 14
- Alabama at Mississippi State Saturday, November 14
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